The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sydney Kings v Adelaide 36ers

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 03:36 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sydney Kings (Local)

Prediction 74.57%1.34fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -10.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.75%75.16%74.57%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.271.281.3084.75%78.84%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adelaide 36ers (Visit)

Prediction 25.43%3.93fair odd
EV +6.79%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.84%25.43%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.653.674.2031.75%27.42%27.21%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sydney Kings (Local): 74.57%; Adelaide 36ers (Visit): 25.43%. For Adelaide 36ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.53%E -6.07%K -31.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.79%E +1.62%K +2.12%G +0.144%4.5%2026-03-28 00:05
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.78%E -5.43%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.38%E -0.890%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 02:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 03:09
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.04%E -4.79%K -23.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.65%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 03:10
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:55
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:55
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 03:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 02:37
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 03:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.78%E -5.43%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-28 03:10
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.05%E -2.35%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.55%E -3.55%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-28 03:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.05%E -2.35%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 00:04
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.05%E -2.35%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 00:05
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.78%E -5.43%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-28 02:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 72.75%EV -12.00%E -10.17%K -66.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -19.91%E -6.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-28 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%3.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%3.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%5.4%2026-03-28 03:00