Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats v S.E. Melbourne Phoenix

2026-10-02 11:36 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd

EV -3.29%

Edge -1.57%

Kelly -2.99%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.17%46.05%46.05%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.072.072.1048.78%48.23%48.31%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

S.E. Melbourne Phoenix (Visit)

Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd

EV -4.51%

Edge -2.55%

Kelly -5.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.66%53.95%53.95%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.731.751.751.7757.80%57.14%57.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Perth Wildcats (Local): 46.05%; S.E. Melbourne Phoenix (Visit): 53.95%. For Perth Wildcats (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -3.29%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Neds🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-28 06:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.29%E -1.57%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.67%E -3.86%K -9.14%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-28 06:40
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.21%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.59%E -3.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-28 05:55
SportsBet🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-28 03:57
TAB🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.86%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-28 07:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.59%E -3.20%K -7.46%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-28 04:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.