The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Perth Wildcats v New Zealand Breakers

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 10:36 UTC

Final: Perth Wildcats 100–84 New Zealand Breakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 59.24%1.69fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -3.26%
Kelly -8.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.75%59.24%59.49%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.581.6066.67%63.72%63.29%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand Breakers (Visit)

Prediction 40.76%2.45fair odd
EV +3.93%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +2.53%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.76%40.51%41.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.352.5544.44%42.11%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Perth Wildcats (Local): 59.24%; New Zealand Breakers (Visit): 40.76%. For New Zealand Breakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.93%E +1.54%K +2.53%G +0.099%5.9%2026-10-05 08:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +3.93%E +1.54%K +2.53%G +0.099%5.9%2026-10-05 08:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.149%E -0.061%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 03:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.19%E -0.911%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 06:04
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.39%E -4.05%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.59%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 02:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.21%E -3.26%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.23%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 04:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.21%E -3.26%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.23%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 06:09
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.21%E -3.26%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.23%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 09:50
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.21%E -3.26%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.23%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.21%E -3.26%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.23%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 09:50
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.21%E -3.26%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.23%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.99%E -4.45%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.16%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-05 09:49
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.39%E -4.05%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 10:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.36%E -6.11%K -17.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.26%E -2.72%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-05 05:55
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.39%E -4.05%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.30%E -3.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.