The School of Odds
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Perth Wildcats v New Zealand Breakers

2026-09-26 11:36 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 66.21%1.51fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -7.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.04%66.21%66.27%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.441.4671.43%69.77%69.20%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand Breakers (Visit)

Prediction 33.79%2.96fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.79%33.73%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.9038.46%36.21%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Perth Wildcats (Local): 66.21%; New Zealand Breakers (Visit): 33.79%. For New Zealand Breakers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.90, with an expected value of -2.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.33%E -2.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -7.43%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 00:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.33%E -2.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 07:05
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.33%E -2.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.78%E -3.25%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 07:49
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.33%E -2.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-25 07:50
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.40%E -1.93%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-25 08:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.99%E -2.75%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 00:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.65%E -3.23%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.16%E -4.68%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 06:34
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 08:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.64%E -4.71%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-25 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.30%E -5.21%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.02%E -0.697%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 00:30
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.30%E -5.21%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.02%E -0.697%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 00:35
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.30%E -5.21%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.09%E -2.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-25 01:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.