The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Perth Wildcats v New Zealand Breakers

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 11:30 UTC

Final: Perth Wildcats 97–93 New Zealand Breakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 64.85%1.54fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -5.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.96%64.87%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.451.5070.42%68.72%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand Breakers (Visit)

Prediction 35.15%2.85fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.567%
Kelly -0.882%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%35.04%35.13%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.702.8038.46%36.91%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Perth Wildcats (Local): 64.85%; New Zealand Breakers (Visit): 35.15%. For New Zealand Breakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.72%E -1.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -3.37%E -2.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -6.16%E -2.31%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -4.02%E -2.71%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -4.75%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-26 11:20
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.02%E -2.71%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.86%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 11:25
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 11:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -4.67%E -3.17%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -5.45%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.35%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 00:40
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.10%E -1.89%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-26 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.86%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 11:15
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.96%E -4.11%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 10:54
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 10:54
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.61%E -4.59%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.62%E -3.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 06:34
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.26%E -5.08%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 04:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.26%E -5.08%K -16.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -3.35%E -1.22%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 11:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.882%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 11:00
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.91%E -5.57%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.59%E -0.567%K -0.882%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-09-26 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-09-26 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-09-26 11:25