The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Perth Wildcats v Melbourne United

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 09:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 63.65%1.57fair odd
EV -0.076%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.134%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.45%63.76%62.96%65.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.481.5770.42%67.24%67.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Melbourne United (Visit)

Prediction 36.35%2.75fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.383%
Kelly +0.598%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.28%36.24%37.04%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.572.552.7842.55%38.89%39.22%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Perth Wildcats (Local): 63.65%; Melbourne United (Visit): 36.35%. For Melbourne United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -7.71%E -5.32%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV +1.07%E +0.383%K +0.598%G +0.006%4.9%2026-03-07 09:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.44%E -4.38%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.025%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 08:59
TAB🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.44%E -4.38%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -1.84%E -0.683%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 09:05
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.62%E -6.78%K -22.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -1.84%E -0.683%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 08:59
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.08%E -4.85%K -15.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 09:04
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.71%E -5.32%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 09:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.26%E -2.14%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 09:05
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 09:05
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 09:04
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 08:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.53%E -3.02%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 09:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.44%E -4.38%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -3.90%E -2.58%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 09:04
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -5.80%E -3.92%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 09:04
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -0.076%E -0.049%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -0.076%E -0.049%K -0.134%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 08:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -9.62%E -6.78%K -22.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -14.57%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%3.8%2026-03-07 09:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%4.3%2026-03-07 09:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%4.3%2026-03-07 09:05