The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Perth Wildcats v Melbourne United

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 10:30 UTC

Final: Perth Wildcats 103–102 Melbourne United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Perth Wildcats (Local)

Prediction 47.02%2.13fair odd
EV +2.98%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +2.50%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.41%47.00%47.34%51.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.971.982.1958.14%50.64%50.51%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Melbourne United (Visit)

Prediction 52.98%1.89fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +2.96%
Growth +0.082%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.81%53.00%52.66%56.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.801.801.9460.98%55.60%55.56%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Perth Wildcats (Local): 47.02%; Melbourne United (Visit): 52.98%. For Perth Wildcats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -13.01%E -7.03%K -15.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV +2.78%E +1.43%K +2.96%G +0.082%5.6%2026-10-23 10:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.929%E -0.497%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 10:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 08:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.31%E -4.26%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 08:25
picklebet_au🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.25%E -4.79%K -9.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 10:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -15.36%E -8.53%K -19.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -1.99%E -1.08%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 06:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -7.37%E -3.74%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.11%E -2.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 10:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 09:54
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 09:39
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.96%E -2.98%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 09:30
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.90%E -3.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.64%E -2.58%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 10:29
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.14%E -1.52%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 10:20
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.90%E -3.48%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.70%E -3.20%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 09:54
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 10:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 10:25
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.61%E -1.76%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.23%E -3.52%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.08%E -2.00%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.76%E -3.84%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 10:25
SportsBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV +2.98%E +1.36%K +2.50%G +0.074%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -11.00%E -6.54%K -16.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 48.81%EV -19.12%E -11.12%K -26.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.19%EV -13.11%E -8.00%K -20.49%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-23 10:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-10-23 10:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-10-23 10:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-10-23 10:25