Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide 36ers

2026-10-30 06:30 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Zealand Breakers (Local)

Prediction 49.51%2.02fair odd
EV +0.014%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.014%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.98%49.51%49.47%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.911.922.0258.82%52.39%52.08%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Adelaide 36ers (Visit)

Prediction 50.49%1.98fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.49%50.53%53.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.841.871.9060.24%54.21%53.48%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New Zealand Breakers (Local): 49.51%; Adelaide 36ers (Visit): 50.49%. For New Zealand Breakers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.0197. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.0200, producing a positive expected value of +0.014%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +0.014%E +0.007%K +0.014%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.63%E -5.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 04:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -2.46%E -1.25%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 03:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.45%E -1.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 03:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.45%E -1.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.60%E -3.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 03:10
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.94%E -2.57%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.70%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 03:04
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.94%E -2.57%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.70%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 03:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.94%E -2.57%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.70%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 03:05
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.94%E -2.57%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.08%E -2.70%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.43%E -2.84%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-26 03:10
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.12%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.14%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 03:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.12%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.14%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 04:35
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.93%E -3.12%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 04:34
picklebet_au🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.92%E -3.68%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.11%E -4.46%K -9.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-26 06:34
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.96%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.59%E -2.99%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 03:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.40%EV -15.83%E -9.31%K -22.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 50.60%EV -16.19%E -9.75%K -24.53%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-26 05:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 48.51%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%8.5%2026-10-26 05:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 48.51%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%8.5%2026-10-26 05:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 48.51%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.49%8.5%2026-10-26 05:31