Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Melbourne United v New Zealand Breakers

2026-11-02 08:36 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Melbourne United (Local)

Prediction 72.63%1.38fair odd

EV +0.232%

Edge +0.168%

Kelly +0.609%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.76%71.98%72.63%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.211.311.301.3882.64%76.17%76.92%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand Breakers (Visit)

Prediction 27.37%3.65fair odd

EV -4.21%

Edge -1.20%

Kelly -1.68%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.08%28.02%27.37%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.753.283.403.5036.36%30.49%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Melbourne United (Local): 72.63%; New Zealand Breakers (Visit): 27.37%. For Melbourne United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.377. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.380, producing a positive expected value of +0.232%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
TAB🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.232%E +0.168%K +0.609%G +0.001%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.89%E -5.96%K -8.95%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 07:00
Bet Right🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +0.232%E +0.168%K +0.609%G +0.001%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -20.63%E -7.11%K -10.86%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-01 07:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -1.95%E -1.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -13.79%E -4.38%K -6.41%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-01 03:50
Betr (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.95%E -1.44%K -5.56%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.16%E -4.89%K -7.22%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-01 07:00
SportsBet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -2.67%E -2.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%	3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -10.23%E -3.12%K -4.49%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 01:05
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.40%E -2.56%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.32%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 06:35
Coral🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.40%E -2.56%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.89%E -5.96%K -8.95%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-11-01 06:55
Neds🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.58%E -4.29%K -18.60%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-01 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.58%E -4.29%K -18.60%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-01 02:40
Coolbet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.58%E -4.29%K -18.60%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 07:00
BetRivers🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.58%E -4.29%K -18.60%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 05:45
Virgin Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.58%E -4.29%K -18.60%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 05:45
Unibet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.58%E -4.29%K -18.60%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 05:45
TABtouch🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.58%E -4.29%K -18.60%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.58%E -4.29%K -18.60%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 05:45
picklebet_au🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.03%E -5.49%K -25.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.95%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-01 05:35
Betsson🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.03%E -5.49%K -25.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.95%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-01 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 69.44%EV -12.12%E -10.01%K -57.69%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 30.56%EV -24.74%E -9.00%K -14.14%G +0.000%	19.0%	2026-11-01 05:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%	9.7%	2026-11-01 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%	10.3%	2026-11-01 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%	10.3%	2026-11-01 06:55