The School of Odds
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Illawarra Hawks v Sydney Kings

2026-10-22 08:36 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Illawarra Hawks (Local)

Prediction 30.76%3.25fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.707%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%30.76%30.76%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.932.953.2040.00%34.09%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Kings (Visit)

Prediction 69.24%1.44fair odd
EV -0.300%
Edge -0.208%
Kelly -0.682%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.85%69.24%69.24%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.371.371.4478.13%72.95%72.99%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Illawarra Hawks (Local): 30.76%; Sydney Kings (Visit): 69.24%. For Sydney Kings (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.444. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.440, with an expected value of -0.300%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.56%E -0.486%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.53%E -4.84%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:09
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.56%E -0.486%K -0.707%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.53%E -4.84%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.63%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.84%E -4.29%K -16.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 05:39
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.45%E -3.23%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 06:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.45%E -3.23%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-19 06:55
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.53%E -4.84%K -18.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-19 07:55
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.68%E -1.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-19 07:55
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.45%E -3.23%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-19 06:54
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.78%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.84%E -4.29%K -16.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-19 07:55
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -13.86%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -0.300%E -0.208%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-19 03:10
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -3.07%E -2.19%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 06:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.86%EV -23.09%E -9.24%K -15.39%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 66.14%EV -11.38%E -8.89%K -40.63%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-19 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.