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Cairns Taipans v New Zealand Breakers

2026-10-25 04:06 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cairns Taipans (Local)

Prediction 49.21%2.03fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.21%49.21%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.901.902.0058.82%52.60%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Zealand Breakers (Visit)

Prediction 50.79%1.97fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.79%50.79%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.831.831.9059.17%54.71%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cairns Taipans (Local): 49.21%; New Zealand Breakers (Visit): 50.79%. For Cairns Taipans (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -1.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.57%E -0.785%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-19 03:09
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.57%E -0.785%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.59%E -4.77%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-19 03:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.05%E -1.55%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.05%E -3.27%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-19 03:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -4.03%E -2.07%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.57%E -4.16%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 03:19
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.51%E -1.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:10
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.51%E -1.85%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-19 03:54
Betsson🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -8.46%E -4.55%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -5.54%E -2.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 07:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.94%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.06%E -3.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 08:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.85%EV -16.34%E -9.61%K -23.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 50.15%EV -14.17%E -8.39%K -20.54%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-19 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.