The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Adelaide 36ers v Sydney Kings

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 08:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adelaide 36ers (Local)

Prediction 35.62%2.81fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%35.75%35.56%37.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.672.702.7542.55%37.50%37.04%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Kings (Visit)

Prediction 64.38%1.55fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -9.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.33%64.25%64.44%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.451.451.4870.42%68.89%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adelaide 36ers (Local): 35.62%; Sydney Kings (Visit): 64.38%. For Adelaide 36ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:35
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:34
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 08:35
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 08:35
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.06%E -0.748%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 08:28
SportsBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.12%E -1.15%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -6.00%E -4.11%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -3.48%E -1.28%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 08:29
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 08:34
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 08:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 08:35
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 08:35
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.64%E -4.58%K -14.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 08:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.18%E -3.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.36%E -3.64%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 08:35
Coolbet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -9.54%E -3.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.71%E -3.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 08:34
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.96%E -4.38%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.29%E -5.06%K -16.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 08:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -16.30%E -6.94%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -8.57%E -6.04%K -20.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-27 08:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-03-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-03-27 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%0.9%2026-03-27 08:35