The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Adelaide 36ers v Sydney Kings

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 08:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adelaide 36ers (Local)

Prediction 35.11%2.85fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.57%35.19%34.70%38.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.572.552.9440.82%38.90%39.22%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sydney Kings (Visit)

Prediction 64.89%1.54fair odd
EV +0.572%
Edge +0.369%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.40%64.81%65.30%67.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.491.501.5573.53%67.04%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adelaide 36ers (Local): 35.11%; Sydney Kings (Visit): 64.89%. For Adelaide 36ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.94, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV +3.24%E +1.10%K +1.67%G +0.054%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 08:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -3.43%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -8.51%E -6.04%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-01 08:35
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.19%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.21%E -5.04%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 08:35
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -5.19%E -1.92%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.86%E -5.54%K -18.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 08:29
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 08:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.70%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 08:35
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -1.37%E -0.904%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 08:34
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.67%E -1.78%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 08:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -10.46%E -4.10%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -11.76%E -8.64%K -32.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-01 08:35
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -12.21%E -4.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.077%E -0.050%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 08:35
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -12.21%E -4.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.077%E -0.050%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 08:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -12.21%E -4.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.077%E -0.050%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 08:34
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -12.21%E -4.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.077%E -0.050%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 08:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -12.21%E -4.89%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -2.02%E -1.34%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 08:35
Bet Right🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -12.92%E -5.21%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -0.077%E -0.050%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 08:35
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -13.27%E -5.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV +0.572%E +0.369%K +1.04%G +0.006%5.0%2026-04-01 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.97%E -5.70%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.077%E -0.050%K -0.142%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 08:35
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -13.97%E -5.70%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -3.97%E -2.68%K -8.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 08:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-04-01 08:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-04-01 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-04-01 08:35