The School of Odds
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Adelaide 36ers v Melbourne United

2026-10-07 08:30 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adelaide 36ers (Local)

Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV -0.142%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.129%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%47.55%48.39%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.971.952.1052.08%50.80%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Melbourne United (Visit)

Prediction 52.45%1.91fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.45%51.61%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.811.8757.14%55.10%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Adelaide 36ers (Local): 47.55%; Melbourne United (Visit): 52.45%. For Adelaide 36ers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.103. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.100, with an expected value of -0.142%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.142%E -0.068%K -0.129%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.22%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 04:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.54%E -2.50%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 07:20
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 02:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 02:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.37%E -2.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -6.12%E -3.42%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 07:35
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.92%E -1.03%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 05:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.97%E -1.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 06:04
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 07:00
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.27%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.22%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-05 05:50
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.97%E -1.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 06:04
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.97%E -1.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 06:04
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.75%E -3.99%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.97%E -1.61%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 06:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.02%E -2.20%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-05 06:05
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.59%E -3.11%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 07:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.