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Adelaide 36ers v Illawarra Hawks

2026-11-07 06:30 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adelaide 36ers (Local)

Prediction 68.54%1.46fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.22%68.58%68.54%70.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4476.92%72.46%72.73%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Illawarra Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 31.46%3.18fair odd
EV +0.677%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.308%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%31.42%31.46%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.912.953.2040.82%34.41%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Adelaide 36ers (Local): 68.54%; Illawarra Hawks (Visit): 31.46%. For Illawarra Hawks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.20, producing a positive expected value of +0.677%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.47%E -5.54%K -21.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +0.677%E +0.212%K +0.308%G +0.002%5.3%2026-11-06 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.04%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 07:55
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.79%E -4.99%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.04%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.79%E -4.99%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.04%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 07:55
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.79%E -4.99%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.04%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 07:55
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.79%E -4.99%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.04%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 07:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.42%E -3.93%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 07:55
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.42%E -3.93%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 07:55
picklebet_au🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.42%E -3.93%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-06 10:40
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.10%E -4.45%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.76%E -3.02%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-06 10:40
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.36%E -2.38%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -10.33%E -3.63%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-06 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.68%E -1.88%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.91%E -4.25%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-06 12:15
TAB🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.30%E -0.906%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.48%E -4.90%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-06 12:04
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -1.30%E -0.906%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -15.05%E -5.58%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-06 12:05
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.05%E -2.89%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -15.05%E -5.58%K -8.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-06 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 65.33%EV -10.90%E -8.38%K -36.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.67%EV -22.92%E -9.35%K -15.81%G +0.000%17.7%2026-11-06 12:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%5.3%2026-11-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%5.3%2026-11-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%5.3%2026-11-06 11:55