Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adelaide 36ers v Cairns Taipans

2026-09-27 06:06 UTC — NBL

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adelaide 36ers (Local)

Prediction 72.73%1.37fair odd

EV +0.371%

Edge +0.269%

Kelly +0.976%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.76%72.73%72.65%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.281.331.331.3878.13%75.24%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cairns Taipans (Visit)

Prediction 27.27%3.67fair odd

EV -4.56%

Edge -1.30%

Kelly -1.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.08%27.27%27.35%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.903.253.263.5034.48%30.75%30.63%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Adelaide 36ers (Local): 72.73%; Cairns Taipans (Visit): 27.27%. For Adelaide 36ers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.38, producing a positive expected value of +0.371%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
TAB🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV +0.371%E +0.269%K +0.976%G +0.004%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -18.20%E -6.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-25 06:40
Bet Right🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV +0.371%E +0.269%K +0.976%G +0.004%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -20.92%E -7.22%K -11.01%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-25 06:39
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -1.81%E -1.34%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-25 07:40
SportsBet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -2.54%E -1.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%	3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -10.56%E -3.22%K -4.63%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-25 01:38
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-25 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-25 08:10
Neds🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-25 08:09
Coral🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.27%E -2.46%K -9.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -18.20%E -6.07%K -9.10%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-25 06:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-25 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-25 08:30
Coolbet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.45%E -4.19%K -18.16%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.93%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-25 06:04
Betsson🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-25 02:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.