The School of Odds

Washington Wizards v Utah Jazz

Kickoff: 2026-07-10 01:10 UTC

Final: Washington Wizards 92–88 Utah Jazz

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 42.53%2.35fair odd
EV +2.08%
Edge +0.867%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%42.56%42.07%44.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.4047.62%44.51%44.44%41.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Utah Jazz (Visit)

Prediction 57.47%1.74fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%57.44%57.93%59.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.591.631.611.7262.89%61.22%62.11%58.14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.08%E +0.867%K +1.49%G +0.031%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.48%E -4.65%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-10 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.046%E -0.019%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.05%E -5.03%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:00
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.046%E -0.019%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.05%E -5.03%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:00
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.046%E -0.019%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.05%E -5.03%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 00:59
ReBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.32%E -0.570%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 00:59
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.03%E -2.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-10 00:59
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.17%E -0.944%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.18%E -3.14%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 00:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.30%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.05%E -5.03%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 00:59
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -8.05%E -5.03%K -13.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-10 00:59
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.90%E -4.26%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 01:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.48%E -4.65%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 01:04
SportsBet2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -9.40%E -4.41%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -1.16%E -0.673%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 01:04
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -9.83%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -1.73%E -1.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 01:04
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.31%E -1.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 01:00
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -8.63%E -5.43%K -14.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-10 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.73%1.47I 68.03%NM 57.27%18.8%2026-07-10 01:05