The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Washington Wizards v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-07-13 00:10 UTC

Final: Washington Wizards 104–85 Sacramento Kings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 53.18%1.88fair odd
EV +12.74%
Edge +6.01%
Kelly +11.38%
Growth +1.45%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.79%52.32%53.25%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.821.802.1259.52%54.90%55.56%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 46.82%2.14fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.44%47.68%46.75%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.992.002.1058.14%50.35%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 53.18%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 46.82%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV +12.74%E +6.01%K +11.38%G +1.45%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -19.47%E -11.32%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 23:59
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV +10.08%E +4.87%K +9.42%G +0.950%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -17.60%E -10.00%K -23.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 23:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.553%E -0.296%K -0.635%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 23:59
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 23:59
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 23:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.28%E -2.38%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 23:59
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.81%E -2.69%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 23:55
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.36%E -3.18%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 23:44
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.87%E -3.32%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.70%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 23:59
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.40%E -3.64%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 23:54
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.00%E -4.62%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 23:59
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -10.13%E -5.99%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -2.62%E -1.26%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 23:59
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -10.66%E -6.34%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -1.68%E -0.799%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-07-12 23:59