The School of Odds

Washington Wizards v Sacramento Kings

2026-07-13 00:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.40%49.08%48.94%51.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.921.902.0254%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 51.06%1.96fair odd
EV -0.436%
Edge -0.224%
Kelly -0.459%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.82%50.92%51.06%52.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.881.851.9555%53%54%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.14%E -0.563%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.07%E -3.89%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 05:28
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 05:28
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.56%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 05:49
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.01%E -3.69%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.05%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 07:49
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.48%E -4.53%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.436%E -0.224%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 05:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -8.97%E -4.82%K -10.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -0.436%E -0.224%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 05:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-11 07:24