The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Washington Wizards v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 23:00 UTC

Final: Washington Wizards 91–83 Atlanta Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 52.96%1.89fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.90%52.96%53.12%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.791.801.8357.14%55.74%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 47.04%2.13fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.582%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.04%46.88%48.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.77%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 52.96%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 47.04%. For Atlanta Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.08%E -1.68%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 22:44
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 22:45
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.61%E -1.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.87%E -3.47%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 22:45
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.14%E -2.29%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 22:45
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 22:30
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.57%E -1.74%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 22:55
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.51%E -2.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.67%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.28%E -4.25%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 22:30
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.20%E -2.90%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.51%E -2.22%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.26%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.22%E -0.582%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 22:45
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -6.26%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -10.16%E -5.32%K -11.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.40%E -3.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.79%E -3.86%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.40%E -3.21%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.93%E -2.96%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-18 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-07-18 22:55
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%2.9%2026-07-18 22:55