The School of Odds
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Utah Jazz v Portland Trail Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 02:30 UTC

Final: Utah Jazz 83–79 Portland Trail Blazers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Prediction 60.41%1.66fair odd
EV +0.882%
Edge +0.528%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%60.47%60.49%62.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.601.6766.67%63.03%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 39.59%2.53fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.88%39.53%39.51%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.382.362.4643.48%41.94%42.37%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 60.41%; Portland Trail Blazers (Visit): 39.59%. For Utah Jazz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.882%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV +0.882%E +0.528%K +1.32%G +0.012%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -8.94%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 02:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.327%E -0.198%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -0.327%E -0.198%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 01:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -0.327%E -0.198%K -0.502%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.14%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 02:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-17 19:44
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.74%E -1.70%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 01:54
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.35%E -2.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.56%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 02:20
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.35%E -2.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.56%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 19:39
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 19:39
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.35%E -2.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 02:20
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.95%E -2.48%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-18 02:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.16%E -3.29%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 02:00
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.16%E -3.29%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 01:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -5.16%E -3.29%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -8.54%E -3.70%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 02:04
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.76%E -3.69%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.40%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 02:05
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.97%E -4.53%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.97%E -4.53%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 01:25
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.58%E -4.95%K -14.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.98%E -2.07%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.78%E -5.82%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -3.00%E -1.22%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -9.39%E -6.26%K -18.78%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.88%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.7%2026-07-18 02:25
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-07-18 02:20
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%3.2%2026-07-18 02:25