Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.69
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 58.74%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 41.26%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.61%E -4.15%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.09%E +0.445%K +0.752%G +0.008% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.972%E -0.405%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-08 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.04%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-08 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-08 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-08 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.32%E -0.785%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.38%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-08 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.99%E -3.58%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-07 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.40%E -3.78%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-08 01:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -3.99%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 00:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-08 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -0.732%E -0.433%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -10.46%E -4.82%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 01:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.89% | 12.8% | 2026-07-08 01:05 |
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