Utah Jazz v Oklahoma City Thunder

Kickoff: 2026-07-08 01:10 UTC

Final: Utah Jazz 103–69 Oklahoma City Thunder

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Utah Jazz (Local)

Prediction 58.74%1.70fair odd

EV -0.732%

Edge -0.433%

Kelly -1.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.22%58.70%59.43%60.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.551.611.621.6964.52%61.96%61.73%59.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 41.26%2.42fair odd

EV +1.09%

Edge +0.445%

Kelly +0.752%

Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.36%41.30%40.57%43.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.172.282.302.4546.08%43.78%43.48%40.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -6.61%E -4.15%K -11.20%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +1.09%E +0.445%K +0.752%G +0.008%	3.7%	2026-07-08 01:04
Fanatics	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.972%E -0.405%K -0.694%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-08 00:49
Pinnacle	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.02%E -3.76%K -10.03%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.04%E -1.29%K -2.25%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-08 00:59
Marathon Bet	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.28%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-08 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-07 16:25
Neds	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-07 16:24
theScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-08 01:00
Hard Rock Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-08 01:05
Betr (AU)	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-08 00:35
DraftKings	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.32%E -0.785%K -1.94%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -7.57%E -3.38%K -6.11%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-08 01:00
BetRivers	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.84%E -2.99%K -7.81%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.99%E -3.58%K -6.49%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-07 09:15
FanDuel	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -8.40%E -3.78%K -6.88%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-08 01:04
ReBet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -8.81%E -3.99%K -7.28%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-08 00:35
Fliff	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.78%E -4.96%K -13.65%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-07-08 01:05
SportsBet	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -0.732%E -0.433%K -1.06%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -10.46%E -4.82%K -8.94%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 01:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%	2.02I 49.50%NM 43.89%	12.8%	2026-07-08 01:05