The School of Odds
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Utah Jazz v Memphis Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 01:00 UTC

Final: Utah Jazz 109–100 Memphis Grizzlies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Prediction 33.04%3.03fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.514%
Kelly -0.773%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%33.44%33.03%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.802.842.9839.22%35.77%35.21%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 66.96%1.49fair odd
EV +0.435%
Edge +0.290%
Kelly +0.870%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%66.56%66.97%68.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.421.5072.46%69.69%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 33.04%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 66.96%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.49. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.435%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -15.74%E -6.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +0.435%E +0.290%K +0.870%G +0.004%5.9%2026-07-06 19:15
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -15.74%E -6.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +0.435%E +0.290%K +0.870%G +0.004%5.9%2026-07-06 19:14
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -15.74%E -6.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -0.235%E -0.158%K -0.479%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-06 17:49
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.904%E -0.611%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 21:33
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 00:49
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.49%E -2.29%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:50
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.52%E -0.855%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 00:49
ReBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 00:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 22:30
FanDuel🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.53%E -0.514%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 00:54
SportsBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -1.86%E -0.627%K -0.945%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 00:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.60%E -5.51%K -20.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-07 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%2.7%2026-07-07 00:50

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