Utah Jazz v Memphis Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 01:00 UTC

Final: Utah Jazz 109–100 Memphis Grizzlies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

33%

67%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Utah Jazz (Local)

Prediction 33.04%3.03fair odd

EV -1.53%

Edge -0.514%

Kelly -0.773%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.96%33.44%33.03%37.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.552.802.842.9839.22%35.77%35.21%33.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 66.96%1.49fair odd

EV +0.435%

Edge +0.290%

Kelly +0.870%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.96%66.56%66.97%68.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.381.431.421.5072.46%69.69%70.42%66.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -15.74%E -6.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +0.435%E +0.290%K +0.870%G +0.004%	5.9%	2026-07-06 19:15
Neds	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -15.74%E -6.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +0.435%E +0.290%K +0.870%G +0.004%	5.9%	2026-07-06 19:14
BetRivers	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -15.74%E -6.17%K -10.15%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -0.235%E -0.158%K -0.479%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-06 17:49
Bovada	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.904%E -0.611%K -1.88%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-06 21:33
Fanatics	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.17%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-07 00:49
Pinnacle	2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.49%E -2.29%K -3.54%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.25%E -2.97%K -9.89%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-06 23:50
DraftKings	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.52%E -0.855%K -1.29%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.72%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-07 00:49
ReBet	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.72%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-07 00:55
Hard Rock Bet	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.72%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-07 00:54
Betr (AU)	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.92%E -3.47%K -11.72%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-06 22:30
FanDuel	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.53%E -0.514%K -0.773%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-07 00:54
SportsBet	2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV -1.86%E -0.627%K -0.945%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.65%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-07 00:55
theScore Bet	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.26%E -4.47%K -15.65%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-07 00:54
Marathon Bet	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.83%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.60%E -5.51%K -20.00%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-07 00:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79%	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21%	2.7%	2026-07-07 00:50