Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Clippers

Kickoff: 2026-07-13 02:00 UTC

Final: Utah Jazz 82–104 Los Angeles Clippers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Prediction 71.60%1.40fair odd
EV +0.961%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.90%71.30%72.01%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.311.4178.74%75.49%76.34%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Clippers (Visit)

Prediction 28.40%3.52fair odd
EV +5.07%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.095%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%28.70%27.99%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.323.253.7035.09%30.15%30.77%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 71.60%; Los Angeles Clippers (Visit): 28.40%. For Los Angeles Clippers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -7.63%E -5.92%K -26.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +5.07%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.095%4.5%2026-07-13 01:55
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +2.23%E +0.619%K +0.856%G +0.019%4.1%2026-07-13 01:53
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.613%E -0.175%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 01:55
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -9.06%E -7.14%K -33.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.613%E -0.175%K -0.245%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 01:55
ReBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -1.75%E -0.505%K -0.711%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 01:55
Fanatics1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.48%E -4.15%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.03%E -0.589%K -0.830%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 01:45
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -4.30%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 01:45
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 01:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 01:14
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.20%E -4.73%K -20.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.71%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 01:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.92%E -5.32%K -23.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.13%E -2.85%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 00:50
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -2.62%E -1.93%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.02%EV -9.98%E -3.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 01:55
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.19%E -0.860%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 01:49
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.77%E -3.58%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.97%E -3.86%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 01:39
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +0.961%E +0.682%K +2.34%G +0.023%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -19.07%E -6.69%K -10.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 22:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-07-13 01:55