The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Utah Jazz v Chicago Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-07-14 01:00 UTC

Final: Utah Jazz 80–63 Chicago Bulls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Prediction 34.50%2.90fair odd
EV +0.054%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.028%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%34.53%34.62%36.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.702.9038.46%36.63%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 65.50%1.53fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.726%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.70%65.47%65.38%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.451.441.5170.92%68.97%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 34.50%; Chicago Bulls (Visit): 65.50%. For Utah Jazz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.898. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.900, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.054%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.054%E +0.018%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.34%E -4.43%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 18:43
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.33%E -0.464%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.03%E -3.47%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-14 00:49
ReBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.68%E -3.95%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 19:04
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.68%E -3.95%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 00:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.68%E -3.95%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 00:50
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.40%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.34%E -4.43%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 17:45
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.86%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.65%E -5.42%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 00:45
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.34%E -4.43%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 17:40
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.34%E -4.43%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 17:20
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.85%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.34%E -4.43%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-14 00:49
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.54%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.72%E -2.53%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 00:50
Marathon Bet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -7.54%E -2.81%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -6.34%E -4.43%K -14.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 00:49
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.57%E -3.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.10%E -0.726%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-14 00:54
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.57%E -3.23%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.75%E -1.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-14 00:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.06%E -2.07%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 00:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.30%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.06%E -2.07%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 00:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-07-14 00:55