The School of Odds

Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets

2026-07-19 22:30 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Prediction 57.54%1.74fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.22%57.66%57.54%59.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.6963%61%61%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Denver Nuggets (Visit)

Prediction 42.46%2.36fair odd
EV +0.205%
Edge +0.087%
Kelly +0.151%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%42.34%42.46%43.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3647%44%44%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +0.205%E +0.087%K +0.151%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 04:20
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.06%E -3.07%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.220%E -0.094%K -0.163%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 04:20
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.78%E -4.19%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.220%E -0.094%K -0.163%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 09:10
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.94%E -4.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.47%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 07:20
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -7.44%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 03:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.86%E -3.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 03:50
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.71%E -4.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 03:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-18 07:05