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Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Raptors (Local)
Prediction 40.95%2.44fair odd
EV +12.61%
Edge +4.59%
Kelly +7.21%
Growth +0.909%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.68%40.36%41.25%42.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.352.7545.45%41.87%42.55%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Celtics (Visit)
Prediction 59.05%1.69fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.29%59.64%58.75%65.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.581.601.6568.49%63.15%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +12.61%E +4.59%K +7.21%G +0.909% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -13.79%E -9.44%K -29.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 01:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +11.38%E +4.18%K +6.62%G +0.753% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -13.20%E -8.98%K -28.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 01:00 |
| ReBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.31%E -0.544%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.72%E -0.717%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.72%E -0.717%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.11%E -3.84%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.57%E -1.56%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.34%E -2.68%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 00:58 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.77%E -1.60%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.52%E -3.45%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.00%E -2.15%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.88%E -5.05%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.82%E -2.53%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.29%E -4.64%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -6.23%E -2.72%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -3.75%E -2.30%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.86%E -3.49%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.93%E -3.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.91%E -4.51%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.16%E -1.93%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-11 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 01:00 |