Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics

2026-07-11 01:00 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Prediction 52.63%1.90fair odd

EV -3.68%

Edge -2.01%

Kelly -4.43%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.22%52.82%52.63%53.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.771.791.771.83MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

52.22%1.915Min

53.79%1.859Max

52.82%1.893Mean

52.63%1.900Median

52.63%1.900IQM

52.79%1.894Margin-weighted

Boston Celtics (Visit)

Prediction 47.37%2.11fair odd

EV -2.43%

Edge -1.18%

Kelly -2.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.21%47.18%47.37%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.972.022.002.06MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

46.21%2.164Min

47.78%2.093Max

47.18%2.119Mean

47.37%2.111Median

47.37%2.111IQM

47.21%2.118Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Toronto Raptors (Local) ▼	Boston Celtics (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -3.68% E -2.01% K -4.43% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -5.27% E -2.63% K -5.27% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-09 04:25
DraftKings	1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -3.68% E -2.01% K -4.43% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -5.27% E -2.63% K -5.27% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-09 03:28
FanDuel	1.77I 56.50% NM 53.79%EV -6.84% E -3.86% K -8.88% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 46.21%EV -2.43% E -1.18% K -2.29% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-09 01:14
SportsBet	1.77I 56.50% NM 53.79%EV -6.84% E -3.86% K -8.88% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 46.21%EV -2.43% E -1.18% K -2.29% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-09 01:14
theScore Bet	1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.84% E -3.86% K -8.88% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -5.27% E -2.63% K -5.27% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-09 03:29
ReBet	1.77I 56.50% NM 52.67%EV -6.84% E -3.86% K -8.88% G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76% NM 47.33%EV -6.69% E -3.40% K -6.90% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-09 04:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Toronto Raptors (Local)	Boston Celtics (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-09 07:15