The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

San Antonio Spurs v Utah Jazz

Kickoff: 2026-07-16 01:30 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 94–82 Utah Jazz

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 45.12%2.22fair odd
EV +1.07%
Edge +0.476%
Kelly +0.861%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%45.29%45.31%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.092.062.2450.00%47.89%48.54%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Jazz (Visit)

Prediction 54.88%1.82fair odd
EV +0.432%
Edge +0.236%
Kelly +0.520%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.71%54.69%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.751.8360.61%57.36%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 45.12%; Utah Jazz (Visit): 54.88%. For San Antonio Spurs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV +1.07%E +0.476%K +0.861%G +0.009%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 22:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.738%E -0.335%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 01:25
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.738%E -0.335%K -0.615%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-16 01:25
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.09%E -0.964%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.70%E -3.94%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 00:55
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -2.54%E -1.18%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -9.45%E -5.73%K -14.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-16 00:15
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.99%E -1.39%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 01:25
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.35%E -2.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.80%E -4.64%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-15 20:44
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 01:25
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 01:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.25%E -2.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.15%E -3.60%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 01:25
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.05%E -3.42%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 01:25
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -7.05%E -3.42%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -2.86%E -1.62%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 01:25
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 01:25
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.51%E -3.66%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.25%E -4.29%K -10.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-16 01:25
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -7.96%E -3.90%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -5.61%E -3.26%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-16 01:20
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.432%E +0.236%K +0.520%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-16 01:25
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.432%E +0.236%K +0.520%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-16 01:25
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.432%E +0.236%K +0.520%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-16 01:25
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.432%E +0.236%K +0.520%G +0.002%4.6%2026-07-16 01:25
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.76%E -4.88%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.96%E -2.26%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 01:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-07-16 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-07-16 01:25
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%2.8%2026-07-16 01:25