Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 22:00 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 70–49 New York Knicks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 65.19%1.53fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.98%65.38%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.461.451.5069.93%68.63%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Knicks (Visit)

Prediction 34.81%2.87fair odd
EV -0.782%
Edge -0.275%
Kelly -0.423%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.02%34.62%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.732.8540.00%36.99%36.63%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 15:19
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 19:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 21:29
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 21:55
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.52%E -0.901%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:04
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -3.57%E -1.29%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 21:35
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -3.92%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:55
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -9.14%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 21:54
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.782%E -0.275%K -0.423%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 18:50
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.52%E -0.901%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:54
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:29
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.75%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 21:34
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-07-11 21:50