Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 2.85
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.22%E -1.48%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.97%E -5.19%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 15:19 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 19:14 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.52%E -2.38%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.49%E -3.65%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -5.66%E -2.09%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 21:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.52%E -0.901%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 19:04 |
| ReBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -3.57%E -1.29%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 21:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -3.92%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -9.14%E -3.50%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.782%E -0.275%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.52%E -0.901%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 21:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.75%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 21:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.78%E -4.74%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 21:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 21:50 |