Sacramento Kings v Milwaukee Bucks

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 02:10 UTC

Final: Sacramento Kings 95–89 Milwaukee Bucks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 57.68%1.73fair odd

EV -2.52%

Edge -1.49%

Kelly -3.65%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.28%57.70%57.96%59.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.561.641.651.6964.10%60.93%60.61%59.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

Prediction 42.32%2.36fair odd

EV -0.975%

Edge -0.417%

Kelly -0.728%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.76%42.30%42.04%43.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.152.242.242.3446.51%44.71%44.64%42.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.52%E -1.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-07 01:49
DraftKings	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.20%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-06 23:35
Bovada	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.67%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-07 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-06 23:44
Neds	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-06 23:45
theScore Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-07 02:00
ReBet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.21%E -2.32%K -4.20%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-07 01:00
Hard Rock Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.83%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.02%E -4.19%K -7.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-07 02:03
Pinnacle	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.94%E -1.73%K -3.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-07 01:05
BetRivers	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-07 01:55
Betr (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-07 01:04
SportsBet	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.975%E -0.417%K -0.728%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-07 01:20
FanDuel	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -0.975%E -0.417%K -0.728%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-06 23:35
Marathon Bet	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.05%E -2.73%K -4.96%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-07 01:59
Fliff	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.90%E -3.14%K -5.75%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-07-07 02:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%	1.02I 98.04%NM 50.00%	96.1%	2026-07-07 02:05