Sacramento Kings v Golden State Warriors Blue

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 21:10 UTC

Final: Sacramento Kings 91–85 Golden State Warriors Blue

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 64.02%1.56fair odd

EV +4.36%

Edge +2.67%

Kelly +6.92%

Growth +0.302%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.42%63.40%64.71%67.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.381.481.441.6372%68%69%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Golden State Warriors Blue (Visit)

Prediction 35.98%2.78fair odd

EV +2.53%

Edge +0.888%

Kelly +1.37%

Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.94%36.60%35.29%41.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.292.612.642.8544%38%38%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV +4.36%E +2.67%K +6.92%G +0.302%	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -17.61%E -7.69%K -13.65%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-05 21:05
FanDuel	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +3.72%E +2.30%K +6.00%G +0.223%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -17.25%E -7.50%K -13.27%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-05 21:04
DraftKings	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -0.123%E -0.079%K -0.219%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -10.06%E -4.02%K -6.71%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-05 21:05
ReBet	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -2.04%E -1.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -8.98%E -3.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-05 20:59
Betr (AU)	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.17%E -4.94%K -15.92%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.46%E -2.49%K -4.04%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-05 20:59
Marathon Bet	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -7.81%E -5.42%K -17.74%G +0.000%	2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -5.02%E -1.90%K -3.06%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-05 20:59
Fanatics	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.64%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.07%E -0.388%K -0.609%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-05 21:05
Bovada	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -10.37%E -7.40%K -25.92%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +2.53%E +0.888%K +1.37%G +0.035%	6.5%	2026-07-05 21:04
Hard Rock Bet	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.37%E -7.40%K -25.92%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.733%E +0.262%K +0.407%G +0.003%	7.1%	2026-07-05 21:04
theScore Bet	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.37%E -7.40%K -25.92%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.07%E -0.388%K -0.609%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-05 21:04
Fliff	1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -11.65%E -8.44%K -30.65%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -2.86%E -1.06%K -1.69%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-07-05 21:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.