Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings v Brooklyn Nets

Kickoff: 2026-07-04 21:10 UTC

Final: Sacramento Kings 79–76 Brooklyn Nets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 54.86%1.82fair odd
EV +0.402%
Edge +0.220%
Kelly +0.485%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%55.01%54.82%56.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.711.8359.88%58.00%58.31%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visit)

Prediction 45.14%2.22fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.67%44.99%45.18%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.1850.00%47.96%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 54.86%; Brooklyn Nets (Visit): 45.14%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.402%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.402%E +0.220%K +0.485%G +0.002%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.73%E -4.86%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 21:04
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.89%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 21:05
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.89%E -1.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.54%E -2.61%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.73%E -4.86%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.08%E -2.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 20:59
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.63%E -3.27%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 21:05
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.41%E -1.59%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.18%E -3.61%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.47%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 20:59
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -7.28%E -4.31%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -1.60%E -0.736%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -7.28%E -4.31%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -2.06%E -0.948%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.83%E -4.66%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.22%E -2.48%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 21:05
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.38%E -5.02%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.73%E -4.86%K -9.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.39%1.81I 55.25%NM 46.61%18.5%2026-07-04 21:05