Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 1.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Trail Blazers (Local): 39.62%; Orlando Magic (Visit): 60.38%. For Portland Trail Blazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.00%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +5.00%E +1.89%K +3.03%G +0.151% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -8.83%E -5.85%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 23:08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -2.14%E -0.865%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.41%E -4.14%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -2.93%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -8.83%E -5.85%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.12%E -1.70%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.00%E -2.51%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.91%E -2.05%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.19%E -1.35%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -5.31%E -2.22%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.60%E -2.91%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-12 22:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.21%E -3.32%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.87%E -3.86%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.21%E -3.32%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.85%E -4.82%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.62%E -4.98%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.833%E +0.499%K +1.24%G +0.010% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -12.83%E -5.83%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.833%E +0.499%K +1.24%G +0.010% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -14.42%E -6.68%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV +2.64%E +1.56%K +3.78%G +0.100% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -14.81%E -6.89%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +2.64%E +1.56%K +3.78%G +0.100% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-07-12 23:09 |