The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Phoenix Suns v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 02:30 UTC

Final: Phoenix Suns 81–86 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 50.50%1.98fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.524%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.56%50.43%50.47%51.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.881.871.9655.25%53.21%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 49.50%2.02fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.27%49.57%49.53%51.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.901.9654.05%52.34%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 50.50%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 49.50%. For Phoenix Suns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.96, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.03%E -0.524%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.42%E -4.55%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 02:25
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.53%E -0.786%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.54%E -1.32%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 01:55
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.45%E -2.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 01:55
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 01:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 23:45
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 00:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.47%E -1.78%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 23:45
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.57%E -2.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.08%E -3.27%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.97%E -1.52%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.09%E -3.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 01:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -7.09%E -3.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.44%E -3.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 02:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.94%E -3.13%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 02:10
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.59%E -4.15%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.43%E -3.97%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -8.60%E -4.75%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -3.96%E -2.04%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%2.6%2026-07-19 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-07-19 02:25
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-07-19 02:25