The School of Odds
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Phoenix Suns v Portland Trail Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 03:20 UTC

Final: Phoenix Suns 81–79 Portland Trail Blazers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 60.62%1.65fair odd
EV +0.015%
Edge +0.009%
Kelly +0.024%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.91%60.70%60.64%63.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.571.6567.11%63.83%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd
EV +3.98%
Edge +1.51%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.096%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.08%39.30%39.36%42.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.352.6444.44%41.91%42.55%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -9.68%E -6.50%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +3.98%E +1.51%K +2.42%G +0.096%5.0%2026-07-11 03:15
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -9.68%E -6.50%K -19.76%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV +3.98%E +1.51%K +2.42%G +0.096%5.0%2026-07-11 03:15
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.54%E -0.615%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 03:14
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.62%E -2.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 03:03
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -7.86%E -5.17%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -5.08%E -2.11%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 03:00
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.41%E -1.50%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 02:58
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 03:05
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 03:05
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.41%E -1.50%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.23%E -3.53%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 02:59
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.02%E -1.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.42%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 03:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.02%E -1.88%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.42%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 03:04
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.83%E -3.08%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.42%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 03:04
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.42%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 03:14
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV +0.015%E +0.009%K +0.024%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -10.60%E -4.67%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 02:59
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -3.62%E -2.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 02:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 52.30%1.25I 80.00%NM 47.70%67.7%2026-07-11 03:15