Phoenix Suns v Portland Trail Blazers

2026-07-11 03:00 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 54.77%1.83fair odd

EV -3.06%

Edge -1.73%

Kelly -3.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.09%54.80%54.77%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.671.721.731.77MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

54.09%1.849Min

55.70%1.795Max

54.80%1.825Mean

54.77%1.826Median

54.77%1.826IQM

54.83%1.824Margin-weighted

Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 45.23%2.21fair odd

EV -2.75%

Edge -1.28%

Kelly -2.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.30%45.20%45.23%45.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.052.102.102.15MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

44.30%2.257Min

45.91%2.178Max

45.20%2.212Mean

45.23%2.211Median

45.23%2.211IQM

45.17%2.214Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Phoenix Suns (Local) ▼	Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -3.06% E -1.73% K -3.98% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -5.01% E -2.39% K -4.55% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-09 03:28
Fanatics	1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.71% E -2.70% K -6.36% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -2.75% E -1.28% K -2.39% G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-09 03:30
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -4.71% E -2.70% K -6.36% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -7.27% E -3.55% K -6.93% G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-09 03:29
SportsBet	1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -5.25% E -3.04% K -7.20% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.11% E -1.94% K -3.67% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-09 01:20
FanDuel	1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -6.35% E -3.71% K -8.94% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -3.20% E -1.50% K -2.81% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-09 01:20
ReBet	1.71I 58.48% NM 54.64%EV -6.35% E -3.71% K -8.94% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 45.36%EV -6.82% E -3.31% K -6.43% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-09 03:30
Fliff	1.67I 59.88% NM 55.70%EV -8.54% E -5.11% K -12.75% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.30%EV -5.01% E -2.39% K -4.55% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-09 04:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Phoenix Suns (Local)	Portland Trail Blazers (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01% NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-09 07:10