The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Philadelphia 76ers v Orlando Magic

Kickoff: 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC

Final: Philadelphia 76ers 92–99 Orlando Magic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 29.47%3.39fair odd
EV +3.13%
Edge +0.896%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%29.70%29.78%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.213.203.5036.36%31.19%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orlando Magic (Visit)

Prediction 70.53%1.42fair odd
EV +0.157%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.373%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%70.30%70.22%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.351.341.4276.34%74.26%74.63%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 29.47%; Orlando Magic (Visit): 70.53%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +3.13%E +0.896%K +1.25%G +0.039%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -7.60%E -5.80%K -24.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 19:54
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.188%E +0.055%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.49%E -4.09%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-15 19:55
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.188%E +0.055%K +0.078%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 19:53
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -0.696%E -0.207%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.49%E -4.09%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 19:54
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -0.696%E -0.207%K -0.294%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.49%E -4.09%K -16.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 19:54
ReBet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -3.35%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.49%E -4.09%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 19:54
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-15 19:39
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.23%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 19:39
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -4.53%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.60%E -5.80%K -24.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 19:43
MyBookie.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -5.12%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -7.60%E -5.80%K -24.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 19:53
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.37%E -2.46%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 19:44
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.71%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-15 19:50
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 29.74%EV -6.00%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.26%EV -4.78%E -3.54%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 19:55
SportsBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 19:54
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.18%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-15 19:54
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.66%E -1.93%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 19:50
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.08%E -3.00%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 19:50
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.65%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.19%E -4.66%K -18.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 19:39
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.60%E -3.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.78%E -3.54%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 19:54
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -18.97%E -6.90%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV +0.157%E +0.110%K +0.373%G +0.001%6.8%2026-07-15 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.28I 30.49%NM 30.21%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%0.9%2026-07-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%1.4%2026-07-15 19:55
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%2.8%2026-07-15 19:55