The School of Odds

Philadelphia 76ers v Indiana Pacers

2026-07-11 21:30 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 60.50%1.65fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -6.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.00%60.52%60.50%61.35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.551.571.561.5965%64%64%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 39.50%2.53fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.65%39.48%39.50%40.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.342.412.432.4643%41%41%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 04:48
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-10 04:45
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.61%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 05:45
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 04:49
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.00%EV -7.56%E -3.23%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 04:50
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -6.23%E -4.02%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -2.82%E -1.15%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-10 05:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.