Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers v Indiana Pacers

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 21:30 UTC

Final: Philadelphia 76ers 100–93 Indiana Pacers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 58.35%1.71fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.22%58.34%58.29%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.631.6763.69%61.46%61.35%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.902%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%41.66%41.71%42.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.282.302.3545.87%43.78%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 21:13
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.12%E -0.902%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 21:19
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 21:24
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.87%E -2.60%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:50
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:49
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 21:09
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 21:19
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.12%E -0.902%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 20:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 21:09
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 21:19
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 08:30
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.23%E -4.54%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 21:20
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.39%E -5.35%K -14.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-07-11 21:25