Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 2.35
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 21:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.12%E -0.902%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 21:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 21:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.73%E -2.26%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.87%E -2.60%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:50 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.31%E -2.63%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -4.89%E -3.00%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.20%E -4.22%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 21:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.12%E -0.902%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 20:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.48%E -3.38%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 21:09 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.54%E -1.08%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 21:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.06%E -3.76%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 08:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.23%E -4.54%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 21:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.39%E -5.35%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 18:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 21:25 |