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Philadelphia 76ers v Detroit Pistons

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 21:55 UTC

Final: Philadelphia 76ers 101–93 Detroit Pistons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 36.92%2.71fair odd
EV -0.308%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.181%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.16%36.83%37.19%37.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.582.582.7040.32%38.79%38.76%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 63.08%1.59fair odd
EV -4.12%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -7.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.16%63.17%62.81%64.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.481.5270.92%67.29%67.34%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 36.92%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 63.08%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.308%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.308%E -0.114%K -0.181%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.02%E -4.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-09 21:49
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.15%E -0.813%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.38%E -3.59%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-09 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 21:49
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-09 21:49
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -4.00%E -1.54%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -11.06%E -7.84%K -26.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-09 21:49
SportsBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.48%E -2.14%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 21:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.85%E -2.29%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -6.22%E -2.45%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.12%E -2.71%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-09 21:49
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.69%E -3.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.65%E -4.49%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-09 21:49
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -8.43%E -3.40%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -4.75%E -3.15%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 21:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%5.9%2026-07-09 21:50

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