Orlando Magic v Miami Heat

2026-07-11 19:30 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prediction 59.57%1.68fair odd

EV -3.50%

Edge -2.16%

Kelly -5.65%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.81%60.03%59.57%61.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.541.571.571.6265%64%64%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Heat (Visit)

Prediction 40.43%2.47fair odd

EV +0.679%

Edge +0.273%

Kelly +0.456%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.21%39.97%40.43%41.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.272.382.362.4944%42%42%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -8.27%E -5.37%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV +0.679%E +0.273%K +0.456%G +0.003%	5.1%	2026-07-10 05:45
FanDuel	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -8.27%E -5.37%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV +0.275%E +0.111%K +0.186%G +0.001%	5.3%	2026-07-10 05:45
Fanatics	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.96%E -1.23%K -2.11%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-10 04:59
DraftKings	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.65%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.58%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-10 04:54
Fliff	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.27%E -5.37%K -15.31%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.98%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-10 06:30
theScore Bet	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.37%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.00%E -3.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-10 04:59
ReBet	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.29%E -3.33%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -8.22%E -3.62%K -6.47%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-10 05:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.