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Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orlando Magic (Local)
assuming max odds 1.67
Miami Heat (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 58.87%; Miami Heat (Visit): 41.13%. For Miami Heat (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -11.11%E -7.36%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV +6.12%E +2.37%K +3.88%G +0.237% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -10.52%E -6.92%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV +5.30%E +2.07%K +3.40%G +0.180% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.64%E -2.86%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.93%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.87%E -1.74%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-11 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.64%E -2.86%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.34%E -1.42%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 17:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.64%E -2.86%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.57%E -1.97%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.64%E -2.86%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.69%E -1.01%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.39%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-11 19:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.58%E -4.83%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.39%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.17%E -5.24%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.39%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 19:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.58%E -4.83%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -6.22%E -2.73%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-11 17:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.22%E -3.24%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.45%E -3.31%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.22%EV -5.81%E -3.63%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.78%EV -8.27%E -3.71%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.87%E -1.74%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.87%E -1.74%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.51%E -4.32%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-11 19:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
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