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Oklahoma City Thunder v Memphis Grizzlies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)
assuming max odds 2.95
Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.57
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 34.96%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 65.04%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -19.59%E -8.52%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV +2.11%E +1.34%K +3.70%G +0.078% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV +0.158%E +0.103%K +0.292%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -2.44%E -1.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.60%E -2.07%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.74%E -2.53%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -6.65%E -2.49%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.74%E -2.53%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.74%E -2.53%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.74%E -2.53%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -10.85%E -4.25%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -3.74%E -2.53%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -2.45%E -0.880%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -3.50%E -1.27%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.70%E -3.93%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.35%E -4.41%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.30%E -2.35%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -4.89%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 18:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.00%E -4.89%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +3.14%E +1.06%K +1.61%G +0.051% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -7.65%E -5.38%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |