The School of Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets

2026-07-15 01:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prediction 50.71%1.97fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.71%51.05%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.871.871.9155%54%53%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Denver Nuggets (Visit)

Prediction 49.29%2.03fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.29%48.95%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.921.911.9553%52%52%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-13 04:34
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 04:35
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 04:35
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 04:38
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 04:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.