Oklahoma City Thunder v Dallas Mavericks

2026-07-16 20:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prediction 52.11%1.92fair odd

EV -2.55%

Edge -1.37%

Kelly -2.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.05%51.91%52.11%52.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.821.811.8756%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Dallas Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 47.89%2.09fair odd

EV -4.22%

Edge -2.11%

Kelly -4.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.51%48.09%47.89%48.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.941.971.982.0052%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.55%E -1.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-15 04:59
Fanatics	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.64%E -2.54%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-15 04:25
FanDuel	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.16%E -2.84%K -6.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-15 04:25
SportsBet	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.68%E -3.14%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.22%E -2.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-15 04:24
theScore Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.20%E -3.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.61%E -3.39%K -6.96%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-15 04:59
ReBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.20%E -3.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -7.09%E -3.66%K -7.55%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-15 04:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-15 07:20