Oklahoma City Thunder v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-07-06 23:00 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 77–82 Atlanta Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prediction 40.73%2.46fair odd

EV +3.85%

Edge +1.51%

Kelly +2.48%

Growth +0.096%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.35%40.57%41.41%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.202.332.282.5545.45%42.91%43.86%39.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 59.27%1.69fair odd

EV +0.173%

Edge +0.103%

Kelly +0.251%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.85%59.43%58.59%62.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.521.601.611.6965.79%62.31%62.11%59.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +3.85%E +1.51%K +2.48%G +0.096%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -9.90%E -6.52%K -19.04%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-06 22:55
DraftKings	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV +3.44%E +1.36%K +2.24%G +0.077%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 22:55
FanDuel	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV +3.44%E +1.36%K +2.24%G +0.077%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -9.90%E -6.52%K -19.04%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-06 22:55
Bovada	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.45%K -6.41%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 22:54
Hard Rock Bet	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.29%E -1.83%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.98%E -2.45%K -6.41%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-06 21:15
ReBet	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.70%E -2.01%K -3.51%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-06 21:15
theScore Bet	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.33%E -2.75%K -4.87%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-06 21:14
Pinnacle	2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.96%E -3.52%K -6.32%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.38%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-06 22:45
Fanatics	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV +0.173%E +0.103%K +0.251%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-06 22:50
BetRivers	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-06 09:35
Marathon Bet	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.75%E -3.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-06 22:55
Betr (AU)	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.37%E -3.72%K -6.69%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.75%E -3.62%K -9.75%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-06 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.01%E -0.606%K -1.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-06 18:34
Neds	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.40%E -4.73%K -8.67%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.01%E -0.606%K -1.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-06 18:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%	1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%	0.8%	2026-07-06 22:55