The School of Odds

New York Knicks v Golden State Warriors

2026-07-16 23:00 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Knicks (Local)

Prediction 28.50%3.51fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.679%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.82%28.51%28.50%29.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.303.273.4531%30%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Golden State Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 71.50%1.40fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -12.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.81%71.49%71.50%72.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.331.3477%75%75%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.66%E -0.482%K -0.679%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.91%E -3.69%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-15 04:59
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.09%E -0.908%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.91%E -3.69%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-15 04:59
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.94%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.19%E -3.13%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 04:54
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.19%E -3.13%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 04:55
ReBet3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -8.22%E -2.55%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.08%EV -6.34%E -4.84%K -20.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-15 04:59
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.79%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.05%E -5.43%K -23.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-15 04:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-15 07:24