Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Knicks v Detroit Pistons

Kickoff: 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC

Final: New York Knicks 86–75 Detroit Pistons

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Knicks (Local)

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV +5.13%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%25.41%25.78%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.664.1029.41%27.11%27.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 74.36%1.34fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -11.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.63%74.59%74.22%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.271.3080.65%78.59%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Knicks (Local): 25.64%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 74.36%. For New York Knicks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +5.13%E +1.25%K +1.65%G +0.085%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-13 19:54
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.56%E +0.640%K +0.854%G +0.022%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.05%E -5.64%K -28.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 19:48
Pinnacle3.97I 25.19%NM 23.80%EV +1.79%E +0.451%K +0.603%G +0.011%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.20%EV -7.79%E -6.29%K -32.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 19:50
SportsBet3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -2.05%E -0.538%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.56%E -4.38%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 19:50
Marathon Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -3.85%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.79%E -6.29%K -32.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 19:55
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-13 19:15
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.13%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.82%E -3.77%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 19:55
BetOnline.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -5.90%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -3.33%E -2.56%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-13 19:55
ReBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 18:45
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.08%E -3.16%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-13 18:44
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 19:49
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.31%E -5.01%K -24.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 19:35
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.56%E -4.38%K -20.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.33%E -2.56%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 19:30
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.54%E -3.35%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.33%E -2.56%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 19:30
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -5.56%E -4.38%K -20.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-07-13 19:50