New York Knicks v Dallas Mavericks

2026-07-18 00:30 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Knicks (Local)

Prediction 39.50%2.53fair odd

EV -3.22%

Edge -1.31%

Kelly -2.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.00%39.56%39.50%40.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.332.402.422.4543%42%41%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Dallas Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 60.50%1.65fair odd

EV -3.81%

Edge -2.40%

Kelly -6.46%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.90%60.44%60.50%61.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.561.571.571.5964%64%64%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-16 06:20
SportsBet	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.61%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-16 06:19
DraftKings	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-16 08:55
FanDuel	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.40%E -1.82%K -3.10%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.02%E -3.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-16 06:15
Hard Rock Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.19%E -2.16%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.81%E -2.40%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-16 08:50
theScore Bet	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.17%E -3.05%K -5.31%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-16 06:20
ReBet	2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.96%E -3.41%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.63%E -3.61%K -10.05%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-16 09:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%	7.4%	2026-07-16 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-07-16 07:35