The School of OddsLanguage:English
New Orleans Pelicans v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Orleans Pelicans (Local)
Prediction 39.44%2.54fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -0.936%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%39.50%39.05%40.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.322.402.402.5043.10%41.62%41.67%40.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 60.56%1.65fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.19%60.50%60.95%61.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6265.36%63.75%63.69%61.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.40%E -0.562%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-09 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 18:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-09 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 18:30 |
| ReBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.38%E -1.38%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-09 19:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.77%E -1.55%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-09 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:44 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-09 17:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.35%E -2.23%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-09 15:35 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.89%E -1.17%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-09 19:23 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.32%E -3.11%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-09 19:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -7.71%E -3.30%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -2.50%E -1.55%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-09 19:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.71%E -3.30%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.13%E -3.95%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-09 19:23 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.50%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.92%E -3.13%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-09 12:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55% | 3.0% | 2026-07-09 19:25 |