The School of Odds
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New Orleans Pelicans v Indiana Pacers

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 01:00 UTC

Final: New Orleans Pelicans 73–91 Indiana Pacers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -0.435%
Edge -0.228%
Kelly -0.478%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%52.07%52.22%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.821.831.9156.50%54.87%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.93%47.78%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.981.982.0552.91%50.52%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Pelicans (Local): 52.13%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 47.87%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.91, with an expected value of -0.435%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.435%E -0.228%K -0.478%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.57%E -4.48%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 00:40
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -0.956%E -0.503%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -9.52%E -5.04%K -10.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.56%E -1.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 00:45
ReBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.08%E -2.22%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 00:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 15:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 14:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.65%E -3.12%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 00:14
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.86%E -0.909%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 11:00
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.21%E -4.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.21%E -4.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-18 10:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -7.21%E -4.05%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.17%E -3.15%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -5.69%E -2.89%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 00:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.65%E -3.41%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.0%2026-07-19 00:30
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-19 00:48
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-19 00:20