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Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
assuming max odds 1.71
Indiana Pacers (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 57.23%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 42.77%. For Indiana Pacers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.13%E -1.25%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-15 19:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.27%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-15 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.27%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-15 19:08 |
| BetUS | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.27%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-15 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.27%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.78%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-15 18:59 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.27%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.06%E -2.28%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 19:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.27%E -1.94%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-15 19:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.29%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-15 19:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.42%E -2.65%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.64%E -0.712%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-15 18:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.92%E -1.29%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-15 19:24 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-15 17:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.71%E -4.12%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.34%E -2.90%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-15 19:23 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.28%E -4.49%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-15 19:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 0.7% | 2026-07-15 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-07-15 19:24 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 3.0% | 2026-07-15 19:24 |