The School of Odds

Minnesota Timberwolves v Indiana Pacers

2026-07-15 19:30 UTC — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prediction 53.15%1.88fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.98%53.15%53.40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.771.791.791.8356%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 46.85%2.13fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.60%47.02%46.85%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.972.022.012.0551%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.74%E -1.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 08:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.33%E -2.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.95%E -1.93%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-14 04:50
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.86%E -2.72%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.89%E -2.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-14 04:50
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.40%E -3.03%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.42%E -2.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-14 04:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.30%E -3.15%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-14 04:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.70%E -3.91%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 04:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-14 07:20