The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Milwaukee Bucks v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-07-13 01:50 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Bucks 80–90 San Antonio Spurs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 63.78%1.57fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.02%63.87%62.95%65.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.481.481.5368.97%67.36%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 36.22%2.76fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.510%
Kelly +0.794%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%36.13%37.05%37.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.552.8041.67%38.41%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 63.78%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 36.22%. For San Antonio Spurs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -6.89%E -4.72%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV +1.43%E +0.510%K +0.794%G +0.011%4.2%2026-07-13 01:34
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -7.53%E -5.19%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -0.020%E -0.007%K -0.011%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 01:34
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.382%E -0.139%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-13 01:33
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.89%E -4.72%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -0.382%E -0.139%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-13 01:34
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.42%E -1.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.82%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-13 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 01:34
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.63%E -2.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 01:34
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 01:25
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.61%E -3.79%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.44%E -3.78%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 01:34
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -10.16%E -4.10%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 01:35
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.25%E -4.25%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -13.06%E -5.44%K -9.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-13 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%5.2%2026-07-13 01:35