The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Milwaukee Bucks v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 21:00 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Bucks 96–94 Philadelphia 76ers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 67.33%1.49fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +5.69%
Growth +0.172%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.13%67.12%67.13%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.421.431.5374.63%70.27%69.93%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 32.67%3.06fair odd
EV +6.17%
Edge +1.90%
Kelly +2.74%
Growth +0.169%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%32.88%32.87%37.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.512.882.893.2539.84%34.72%34.60%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 67.33%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 32.67%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV +3.02%E +1.97%K +5.69%G +0.172%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -18.00%E -7.17%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 19:10
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.349%E -0.236%K -0.727%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.37%E -1.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:50
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.37%E -1.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -10.16%E -3.70%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:50
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.04%E -2.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -5.26%E -1.81%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-18 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.04%E -2.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.04%E -2.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.04%E -2.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.04%E -2.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -11.80%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 20:55
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -3.72%E -2.60%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -4.61%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 20:50
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.39%E -3.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.63%E -1.23%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 20:50
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.39%E -3.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -5.59%E -1.93%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.39%E -3.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.90%E -2.42%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 20:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.74%E -4.10%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.53%E -3.05%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-18 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -0.035%E -0.011%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 20:50
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -0.361%E -0.119%K -0.176%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 20:54
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -8.43%E -6.20%K -23.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +6.17%E +1.90%K +2.74%G +0.169%4.3%2026-07-18 20:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -9.78%E -7.30%K -28.75%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -0.035%E -0.011%K -0.017%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 20:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.5%2026-07-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-07-18 20:55
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-07-18 20:55