The School of Odds
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Milwaukee Bucks v Brooklyn Nets

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 19:00 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Bucks 69–89 Brooklyn Nets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 65.15%1.53fair odd
EV -0.321%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.606%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.13%65.39%65.04%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.441.5372.46%68.43%69.20%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visit)

Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV +9.78%
Edge +3.10%
Kelly +4.55%
Growth +0.445%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%34.61%34.96%37.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.653.1540.00%37.28%37.74%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 65.15%; Brooklyn Nets (Visit): 34.85%. For Brooklyn Nets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -10.09%E -7.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +9.78%E +3.10%K +4.55%G +0.445%4.2%2026-07-05 18:40
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -6.18%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -1.37%E -0.485%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.53%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.42%E -0.864%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 18:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.42%E -0.864%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 18:54
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 18:48
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.53%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.18%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -6.18%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -7.99%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:55
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -0.321%E -0.210%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -12.18%E -4.83%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -0.321%E -0.210%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -12.53%E -4.99%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 18:50
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.18%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-07-05 18:55

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