The School of Odds

Milwaukee Bucks v Brooklyn Nets

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 19:00 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Bucks 69–89 Brooklyn Nets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

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Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 65.15%1.53fair odd
EV -0.321%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.606%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.13%65.39%65.04%69.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.441.5372%68%69%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Brooklyn Nets (Visit)

Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV +9.78%
Edge +3.10%
Kelly +4.55%
Growth +0.445%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%34.61%34.96%37.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.653.1540%37%38%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -10.09%E -7.31%K -26.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +9.78%E +3.10%K +4.55%G +0.445%4.2%2026-07-05 18:40
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -6.18%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -1.37%E -0.485%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 18:55
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.53%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.42%E -0.864%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 18:49
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.42%E -0.864%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 18:54
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 18:48
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 18:55
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.53%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 18:45
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.18%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 18:55
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -6.18%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -7.99%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:55
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 18:55
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -0.321%E -0.210%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -12.18%E -4.83%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 18:54
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -0.321%E -0.210%K -0.606%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -12.53%E -4.99%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 18:50
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.18%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-07-05 18:55